Sunday, February 1st, 2026

Fleeing the dragon: Chinese asylum claims hover near historic highs in 2025



Chinese nationals sought asylum abroad in numbers that once again approached historic highs in 2025, reinforcing a trend that has steadily intensified over the past decade. Preliminary data compiled by the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees show that an estimated 178,725 Chinese citizens applied for asylum worldwide last year.

While marginally below the record levels reported in 2024, the figure remains among the highest ever recorded and may still be revised upward when UNHCR finalises its annual data after verification. The persistence of these elevated numbers marks a stark departure from earlier decades, when asylum claims from China were comparatively limited and sporadic.

What is now emerging is not a short-term spike linked to a single crisis but a sustained pattern of outward flight that has continued despite Beijing’s increasingly restrictive controls on who can leave the country and under what conditions.

Decade-long climb under Xi Jinping

Human rights organisation Safeguard Defenders has pointed to the contrast between the current figures and those recorded before Xi Jinping came to power in 2012. During the decade-long tenure of former Chinese leader Hu Jintao, annual asylum applications from Chinese nationals typically ranged between 7,000 and 21,000 worldwide.

By comparison, Safeguard Defenders estimates that since Xi assumed leadership, the cumulative number of Chinese asylum seekers has climbed to approximately 1.33 million. This dramatic rise has unfolded alongside a period marked by expanded state surveillance, tightened ideological control, and a broadening definition of what constitutes political or social dissent.

The sustained increase in asylum applications suggests that pressures prompting Chinese citizens to seek protection abroad have not only persisted but deepened over time.

US as primary destination

UNHCR data show that the United States remained the dominant destination for Chinese asylum seekers in 2025, accounting for the overwhelming majority of claims. Approximately 147,909 Chinese nationals filed asylum applications in the US during the year, a figure that far outstrips totals recorded by any other country.

The concentration of claims in the United States reflects both its asylum system and its perceived distance from Chinese state influence. At the same time, it underscores the scale of demand placed on a single destination country by a phenomenon that is global in scope but unevenly distributed in practice.

Rising numbers in Canada and Europe

Beyond the United States, several other countries recorded notable increases in asylum applications from Chinese nationals. Canada saw 6,435 claims in 2025, more than double the levels reported before the COVID-19 pandemic. Italy also emerged as a significant destination, receiving 3,857 applications from Chinese citizens, a sharp increase compared with pre-pandemic years.

These rises point to a broader geographic spread of Chinese asylum claims, extending beyond traditional destinations. While the absolute numbers remain far smaller than those recorded in the United States, the upward trajectory in countries such as Canada and Italy suggests that the underlying drivers of emigration are not being offset by regional or policy differences.

Australia and the post-pandemic shift

Australia continued to rank among the major destinations for Chinese asylum seekers, though the number of applications declined from recent peaks. UNHCR figures indicate that 10,436 Chinese nationals sought asylum in Australia in 2025, down from the highs recorded in the previous two years.

The decline does not necessarily signal a reversal of the broader trend. Instead, it reflects shifting migration routes, evolving border and visa policies, and post-pandemic adjustments that have redistributed asylum flows rather than reduced them overall.

Dispersed claims across the globe

UNHCR data show that Chinese asylum applications in 2025 were spread across dozens of countries worldwide. Many nations in Asia, Africa, and parts of Eastern Europe recorded only single-digit figures, underscoring the uneven distribution of claims.

Even so, the global footprint of Chinese asylum seekers highlights the reach of the phenomenon and its resilience across different regions. This dispersion also complicates efforts to frame Chinese asylum claims as the product of isolated or country-specific factors. Instead, the data point to a set of pressures within China that are prompting citizens to seek refuge wherever viable pathways exist.

Human rights concerns and exit controls

Safeguard Defenders and other rights groups have consistently linked the rise in asylum applications from China to worsening human rights conditions. These include restrictions on freedom of expression, religion, and association, as well as intensified surveillance and punitive measures against perceived dissenters.

Notably, the sustained increase in asylum claims has occurred despite China’s tightening of exit controls on certain categories of citizens. Beijing has long used passport restrictions, travel approvals, and administrative barriers to limit foreign travel by individuals deemed politically sensitive.

The continued growth in asylum applications suggests that such measures have not eliminated the underlying motivations to leave, even as they raise the risks and costs associated with doing so.

A trend resistant to short-term explanations

The near-record figures recorded in 2025 reinforce the view that Chinese asylum claims represent a structural trend rather than a temporary anomaly. The numbers have remained elevated since the COVID-19 pandemic, and preliminary data indicate no meaningful return to pre-2012 levels.

UNHCR is expected to release its finalised global asylum statistics for 2025 later this year. Whether the final count surpasses the 2024 record or falls slightly short, the broader pattern is unlikely to change.  The data already place 2025 among the most significant years on record for Chinese asylum claims.

What the numbers reveal

The scale and persistence of Chinese asylum applications point to a widening gap between the state’s efforts to control population movement and the lived experiences of those seeking to leave. The figures do not merely reflect migration preferences or economic calculations; they document a prolonged exodus that has unfolded under increasingly restrictive domestic conditions.

As UNHCR prepares to finalise its data, the near-record totals for 2025 stand as a quantitative measure of a deeper and ongoing reality. For more than a decade, the number of Chinese citizens seeking protection abroad has remained historically high, signalling pressures that statistical revisions alone are unlikely to erase.

Publish Date : 01 February 2026 05:36 AM

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